Issue 89 | Special Issue for Influenza Vaccine #1

Editor’s Note:

Each year, as autumn and winter arrive, influenza viruses return as expected, which poses a threat not only to individual health but also places a significant burden on public health systems. Vaccination remains the most effective and cost-efficient means of preventing influenza and its severe complications.

As the flu season approaches, we will release two  special weekly series featuring summaries of scientific evidence, implementation experiences, and intervention practices related to influenza vaccination—primarily based on China’s domestic research and field data. This series aims to provide useful references for disease control and public health authorities in strengthening influenza vaccination programs, health education, and policy advocacy.

Intervention and Implementation Strategies

01

Government Public Welfare Initiative: The Zhejiang Province Case of Free Influenza Vaccination for Older Adults

Since 2020, Zhejiang Province has incorporated free influenza vaccination for adults aged 70 years and above into its provincial-level public welfare program, with some areas extending eligibility to those aged 60 and above. By 2024, the program had achieved full coverage across all districts and counties, benefiting a total of 1.9 million older adults, with a satisfaction rate exceeding 99%.

Haiyan County, one of the earliest pilot regions, began implementing the program in 2019. It adopted a three-tier grid-based mobilization model—led by the government and coordinated through health authorities at the township (or subdistrict), administrative village (or community), and village group leader levels—to ensure efficient organization and outreach. This structure enabled the target population coverage to expand steadily year by year.

From 2019 to 2023, the influenza vaccination rate among adults aged 60 and above in Haiyan County reached 61.0%, significantly higher than the provincial average of 36.4% during the same period. The success of the program can be attributed to scientific planning, interdepartmental collaboration, grassroots mobilization through local networks, and the integration of digital tools, offering a model that is both scalable and replicable for other regions.

https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2025.1571499

02

Preferences and Determinants of Adult Vaccination Site Selection: A Cross-Sectional Study Across 30 Provinces in China

Participants in this study generally preferred vaccination sites that offered high convenience, efficient service, transparent pricing, and a comfortable environment. Adults aged 35–44 years, those with a monthly income above CNY10,000, and individuals who had previously received vaccines other than the COVID-19 vaccine were more likely to choose community health service centers as their preferred vaccination location.

The patterns of site preference were consistent across different vaccines, including influenza, herpes zoster, and pneumococcal vaccines, with the majority of participants favoring community health service centers for vaccination services.

Satisfaction analysis revealed that individuals who had previously received an influenza vaccine reported higher satisfaction with appointment systems, waiting times, and service hours compared with those who had not been vaccinated.

Multivariate analysis of vaccination decision factors showed that individuals who perceived influenza vaccination as important, were less concerned about service costs, valued convenience, and followed physicians’ recommendations were more likely to receive the influenza vaccine.

https://doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2024.2442104

03

Increasing Childhood Influenza Vaccination Coverage Reduces Influenza Cases Across All Age Groups: An Agent-Based Modeling Study

Raising influenza vaccination coverage among school-aged children can significantly reduce influenza infections and hospitalizations across the entire population. The study found that for every 5% increase in vaccination coverage among school-aged children, influenza cases in this group decreased by 3.2%, while overall population cases declined by 3.3%. When vaccination coverage increased by 15%, influenza cases dropped by 10.9% among children and 11.6% across the total population. The study identified two key mechanisms driving this effect: First, children serve as major transmission nodes for the influenza virus, and improving their immunity effectively disrupts transmission chains. Next, the use of the trivalent live attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV3) may provide higher protective efficacy compared with the traditional quadrivalent formulation (LAIV4).

International experience: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2025.106443

01

Current Status, Willingness, and Influencing Factors for Influenza Vaccine Prescription Among Chinese Healthcare Workers

A nationwide cross-sectional survey was conducted via the expert consultation platform of the 2024 World Influenza Congress (July 3–10, 2024). Among hospital healthcare workers, 68.8% (778/1131) reported willingness to prescribe influenza vaccines, compared with 61.9% in community healthcare settings.

Analysis of influencing factors indicated that healthcare workers with a history of influenza vaccination were more likely to provide vaccine prescriptions (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 0.30, 95% CI: 0.23–0.39, P < 0.001). Incentive mechanisms, including monetary bonuses and integration into monthly/annual performance evaluations, significantly increased prescription willingness. Regarding vaccine promotion strategies, 63.4% of healthcare workers considered WeChat public account notifications the most effective way to enhance public awareness of vaccination.

https://doi.org/10.1186/s41256-025-00430-0

02

Barriers and Recommendations for Influenza Vaccination Among Healthcare Workers in Chinese Community Health Centers

A study was conducted in 24 urban community health centers and 12 township health centers across four cities in Shandong Province (Jinan, Qingdao, Jining, and Weifang). The results showed that most healthcare workers (86%) were willing to receive the influenza vaccine, yet 32.2% reported that they would not proactively recommend vaccination to others.

Healthcare workers’ vaccination behaviors were influenced by their perceptions of vaccine benefits and risks, confidence in vaccines, and vaccine accessibility. Those who had previously received the influenza vaccine were more likely to recommend it to others.

https://doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2024.2352916

01

Implementation Strategies to Address Influenza Vaccination Barriers in Beijing Schools

Facilitators for school-based influenza vaccination (SLIV) programs included convenient vaccination channels, intergovernmental collaboration, top-down guidance from authoritative institutions, and integrating SLIV into routine school workflows. Key barriers were parental misconceptions about vaccines, inadequate vaccine supply and coordination of vaccination dates, and lack of planning or information. To address these barriers, the study proposed multi-level strategies at the system, school, and consumer levels, such as developing detailed implementation blueprints, training school personnel, and strengthening engagement with students and parents.

https://doi.org/10.1186/s43058-023-00501-8

02

Survey on Influenza and Influenza Vaccination Knowledge, Infection Status, Uptake, and Influencing Factors Among Primary and Secondary School Teachers in a District of Beijing

In April 2024, a cross-sectional survey was conducted using stratified random sampling, selecting 5 schools each from 51 primary schools and 40 secondary schools in a juridical district. Teachers demonstrated high perceived susceptibility to influenza (e.g., 91.38% considered school outbreaks likely) and perceived severity (e.g., 88.41% believed infection would impact teaching). While 67.59% recognized that influenza vaccination could effectively prevent influenza, awareness of vaccine safety was limited, with 48.00% concerned about potential adverse reactions. Regarding vaccination willingness, physician recommendations (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]=2.62) and provision of free vaccination services for teachers (aOR=10.26) significantly increased their likelihood of getting vaccinated.

https://doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.cn112338-20241224-00821

01

CDC Influenza Vaccination Communication Strategy Highlights the Value of Disease Mitigation Messaging

During the 2023–2024 influenza season, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) conducted targeted influenza vaccination campaigns for pregnant women and parents under the “Wild to Mild” initiative. This strategy emphasized the disease mitigation effect—reducing the severity of illness—to successfully reshape public expectations of influenza vaccine benefits. In the increasingly complex post-pandemic communication environment, evidence-based messaging that highlights the “illness severity reduction” effect, combined with culturally adapted elements, can significantly enhance vaccination willingness among specific populations.

https://doi.org/10.1080/10810730.2025.2453840

02

Characteristics and Determinants of Repeated Influenza Vaccination Among Older Adults in Shanghai, 2020–2022

Although influenza vaccination coverage among older adults in Shanghai remains low, the rate of repeated vaccination has increased. Between 2020 and 2022, the average vaccination coverage among registered older adults was 4.1%, showing a declining trend. However, the rate of repeated vaccination rose from 28.35% in 2020 to 63.53% in 2021 and 64.38% in 2022. Factors promoting repeated vaccination included good management through community health centers, Shanghai residential household registration, and advanced age (70 years and above). The study also indicated that repeated influenza vaccination did not increase the risk of adverse events.

https://doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2024.2364480

03

Effectiveness of Instant Messaging Intervention on Influenza Vaccination Among Older Adults in China: From Willingness to Action

This study was conducted in Shandong among older adults with initially low influenza vaccination willingness. An ecological momentary intervention (EMI) was implemented by showing a 2-minute influenza awareness video jointly produced by the Chinese CDC and the World Health Organization, covering basic influenza information and the importance of vaccination. After viewing the video, participants’ willingness to vaccinate was reassessed via questionnaire. Following the EMI, the proportion of older adults willing to receive the influenza vaccine increased to 79.8% (95% CI: 78.4%–81.2%), an increase of 18.5% (95% CI: 16.3%–20.7%). Correspondingly, the actual influenza vaccination rate rose from 40.4% (95% CI: 38.5%–42.3%) before the intervention to 53.9%, an increase of 13.5% (95% CI: 10.9%–16.2%).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.05.032

04

Strengthening Vaccination Through Community Engagement: Evidence from China

This study analyzed data from the 2021 China General Social Survey (CGSS) and found that individuals who received community notifications were more likely to have COVID-19 vaccine up-take  compared with those who did not receive notifications (100% vs. 53.3%). Influenza vaccination rates were also significantly higher among the notified group (2.7% vs. 1.9%). Mechanism analysis indicated that community notifications increased vaccination uptake by enhancing individuals’ awareness of vaccine benefits. Heterogeneity analysis further revealed that the impact of community engagement was particularly pronounced among older adults, individuals with lower educational attainment, and those with poorer economic conditions.

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-61583-5

05

Differences in Influenza Vaccination Hesitancy and Decision-Making Between Parents and Grandparent Caregivers of Preschool Children: A Comparative Study

Grandparents demonstrated more positive attitudes and higher willingness toward influenza vaccination for themselves and their grandchildren. Using a self-developed Influenza Vaccination Hesitancy (IVH) scale and a vaccine hesitancy determinants matrix, the study analyzed key factors influencing vaccination attitudes and decisions in both groups. The IVH score for parents was 32 (IQR: 28–36), significantly higher than that of grandparents at 30 (IQR: 25–33) (p < 0.001), indicating that grandparents held more favorable views toward influenza vaccination. Mandatory vaccination policies positively influenced the vaccination attitudes of both groups, and adequate vaccine supply was identified as a key facilitator for both parents and grandparents.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2025.127696

01

Optimizing Influenza Vaccine Allocation: A Public Health Planning–Based Demand Forecasting Approach

The study retrospectively analyzed influenza vaccination data from multiple Mayo Clinic regions over four past flu seasons, including electronic health records, employee occupational health files, and inventory records. Analysis showed that approximately 68% of quadrivalent influenza vaccines and 85% of high-dose vaccines were administered between August and November each year. Based on this temporal pattern, the team developed a forecasting algorithm focusing on two key parameters: the early-season vaccination proportion (August–November) and a demand adjustment factor for the remaining quarters. Comparing actual data from the 2023–2024 flu season with model predictions demonstrated the algorithm’s strong performance. For Regions 3 and 5, the error rate between ordered and administered quadrivalent vaccines was below 10%. Compared with traditional allocation methods, the new strategy saved over USD 1 million while minimizing the risk of vaccine shortages.

https://doi.org/10.1093/ajhp/zxae336

02

International Comparative Study on Seasonal Influenza Vaccine Demand Planning and Implications for the German System

Germany faces multiple challenges in influenza vaccine supply, including unreliable demand forecasting, complex administrative procedures, non-binding orders, excessive financial risk for healthcare providers, significant vaccine wastage, and an underdeveloped replenishment system. The study suggests that Germany could optimize its influenza vaccine demand planning by drawing lessons from other countries: Australia implements cross-state vaccine demand forecasting and a strict vaccine registration system; Canada coordinates vaccine distribution through federal–provincial bulk procurement and effectively utilizes surplus stock; the UK employs the ImmForm online platform for centralized ordering and real-time monitoring; the US encourages pre-order systems to reduce supply chain delays; Switzerland has established an emergency vaccine redistribution mechanism; and Singapore optimizes vaccine allocation through public–private partnerships.

International experience: ​​ https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-025-22420-0

03

Exploring the Lagged Correlation Between Baidu Search Index and Influenza-Like Illness (ILI): 2014–2019

The study analyzed ILI% data and Baidu Search Index data from 30 provincial-level regions in China between April 2014 and March 2019. Results showed a significant lagged correlation between the overall Baidu index and ILI%, with a median lag of 0.5 days. The prevention and symptom indices responded more quickly to ILI%, with median lags of -9 and -0.5 days, respectively, while the general and treatment indices had median lags of 0 and 3 days. These findings suggest the potential to develop predictive models based on the prevention and symptom indices to forecast influenza outbreaks and provide early warning.

https://weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/doi/10.46234/ccdcw2024.084

Content Editor: Tianyi Deng

Page Editor: Ruitong Li

Others

代表性地区的基本情况、接种政策及效果、宣传推动情况

(1) 成都市

 

基本情况

成都市2022年度GDP为20817.5亿元,排名全国城市第七。成都市出台了《健康城市建设推动健康中国行动创新模式成都市宫颈癌综合防控试点工作方案》等一系列相关政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种工作。

接种政策及效果

目标人群为13-14岁在校且无HPV疫苗接种史女生。免疫程序为国产二价0-6二剂次、进口二价0-1-6三剂次、进口四价0-2-6三剂次。资助政策为国产二价疫苗(沃泽惠)免费,其它疫苗补贴600元/人,并自付20元/剂接种费。疫苗接种按照属地化管理原则,由学校所在地预防接种单位负责。截至2022年1月,目标人群首针接种率达90.04%[14]。

宣传推动

成都市开展多形式、多载体的健康教育宣传。形式包括讲座、知晓日、义诊咨询、专题课程、专题活动等,载体包括宣传册、宣传栏、展板、电视、微信、视频号、抖音平台等,覆盖相关医疗机构300余、社区300余个、和公众场所90余个。面向适龄女孩及监护人、适龄女性及全体市民开展广泛宣教,宣传材料发放至近9万名群众,讲座活动覆盖近2万名群众。宣教内容包括HPV疫苗接种、两癌防控、其它女性常见疾病防控等。

(2) 济南市

 

基本情况

济南市2022年度GDP为12027.5亿元,位列全国城市排名20。2021年,济南市出台《健康城市建设推动健康中国行动创新模式试点一济南市宫颈癌综合防治工作方案(2021—2025年)》等一系列相关政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种工作。

接种政策及效果

目标人群为≤14周岁且无HPV疫苗接种史的在校七年级女生。免疫程序为国产二价0-6二剂次。资助政策免费接种。疫苗接种按照属地化管理原则,安排分班级分时段前往学校所在地的预防接种单位进行接种。截至2022年11月,目标人群首针接种率达
94.4%[15].

宣传推动

济南市开展多形式、多载体的健康教育宣传。形式包括采访、线上线下专题活动,载体包括网络媒体、纸媒、科普展板、宣传手册、子宫颈癌与HPV疫苗知识读本、济南HPV疫苗接种手册,宣教人群广泛涵盖全体市民,宣教内容包括HPV疫苗接种、两癌防控等知识。

(3) 鄂尔多斯市

 

基本情况

鄂尔多斯市2022年度GDP为5613.44亿元,全国地级市第45位。2021年,鄂尔多斯市出台了《健康城市建设推动健康鄂尔多斯行动创新模式工作方案》等一系列相关政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种工作。

接种政策及效果

2020年8月,鄂尔多斯市在准格尔旗率先开展HPV疫苗免费接种项目。目标人群为全市当年13-18岁在校且无HPV疫苗接种史女生。免疫程序为进口二价0-1-6三剂次,

2023年起调整为13-14岁女孩0-6二剂次。资助政策为疫苗免费,自付20元/剂接种费。组织方式为疫苗接种服务中心根据任务安排联系学校,有规划的通知适龄女孩前来完成HPV疫苗接种。截至2022年11月,目标人群首针接种率接近70%[16]。

2022年8月,启动准格尔旗和达拉特旗高三女生接种四价和九价HPV疫苗的试点工作,利用暑假时间展开接种,力争在2023年年底达成90%的接种目标[17]。自鄂尔多斯之后,由政府主导的HPV疫苗惠民行动在多地等涌现。值得注意的是,近年来多主体参与到HPV疫苗支持项目,如慈善总会、医院、妇联等为主体单位牵头组织开展了一些公益活动。

宣传推动

鄂尔多斯市开展多形式、多载体的健康教育宣传。形式包括讲座、知晓日、义诊咨询、专题课程、专题活动等,载体包括宣传册、宣传栏、展板、电视、微信、视频号、抖音平台等,宣教人群广泛涵盖在校女孩及监护人,适龄女性及全体市民。宣教内容包括HPV疫苗接种、两癌防控、其它女性常见疾病防控等。

(4) 西安市

 

基本情况

西安市2022年度GDP为11486.51亿元,排名全国第22位。2021年,西安市出台了《西安市健康城市建设推动健康中国行动创新模式试点宫颈癌综合防治工作方案》等一系列相关政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种工作。

接种政策及效果

目标人群为全市年龄满13周岁(初中)在校女生。免疫程序为国产二价0-6二剂次,进口二价0-1-6三剂次,进口四价和进口九价0-2-6三剂次。接种政策为自愿自费。各区(县)合理设立HPV疫苗专项疫苗接种门诊承担接种任务,并及时将接种信息统一录入儿童免疫规划信息平台。

宣传推动

西安市出台了《西安市宫颈癌综合防治宣传方案》(市健办发〔2022〕12号)。通过媒体宣传、社区活动、义诊等形式,宣传册、宣传栏、展板、电视、微信公众号、报纸等载体普及宫颈癌防治相关知识。

(5) 西藏自治区

 

基本情况

西藏自治区2022年度GDP为2132.64亿元,经济总量整体规模相对其他省份较小,人均GDP处于全国中等偏下水平。2022年出台《西藏自治区妇女“两癌”综合防治工作实施方案》等系列政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种。

接种政策及效果

目标人群为13-14岁在校女生。免疫程序为国产二价0-6二剂次。资助政策为免费。由学校组织,接种者在商定接种时间携带个人身份证明材料与法定监护人一同前往定点接种单位接种。

宣传推动

充分利用网络、电视、广播、报刊等媒介,以群众喜闻乐见的宣传方式,对适龄在校女生HPV疫苗接种工作的意义及内容进行广泛宣传。

近年来各地HPV疫苗惠民项目信息

“疾病负担”指标解读

疾病负担(burden of disease, BOD)是指疾病造成的失能(伤残)、生活质量下降和过早死亡对健康和社会造成的总损失,包括疾病的流行病学负担和经济负担两个方面。

 

在疾病的流行病学方面,衡量疾病负担的常用指标包括传统指标和综合指标。

 

传统指标

传统疾病负担的衡量指标包括:用于描述和反映健康状况与水平的常规指标,如死亡人数、伤残人数和患病人数等绝对数指标;以及用来比较不同特征人群疾病分布差异的指标,如发病率、伤残率、患病率、死亡率、门诊和住院率等相对数指标。

 

上述传统疾病负担的衡量指标基本上只考虑了人口的生存数量,而忽略了生存质量,不够全面;但优势在于资料相对计算方便,结果直观,可用于各种疾病的一般性描述。

 

综合指标

疾病负担不等同于死亡人数,综合指标弥补了传统指标的单一性,且可以让各种不同疾病造成的负担之间相互比较。

 

潜在寿命损失年(YPLL):通过疾病造成的寿命损失来估计疾病负担的大小。但忽略了疾病造成的失能对生存质量的影响。

 

伤残调整寿命年(DALYs):将死亡和失能相结合,用一个指标来描述疾病的这两方面的负担。它包括因早死造成健康生命年的损失(YLL)和因伤残造成健康生命年的损失(YLD),即DALY=YLL+YLD。目前,DALY是国内外一致公认的最具代表性、运用最多的疾病负担评价指标。

 

健康期望寿命(HALE):指具有良好健康状态的生命年以及个体在比较舒适的状态下生活的平均预期时间,综合考虑生命的质量和数量两方面。

 

 

随着疾病负担研究的深入,其测量范围从流行病学负担扩大到经济负担。

 

疾病经济负担是由于发病、伤残(失能)和过早死亡给患者本人、家庭以及社会带来的经济损失,和由于预防治疗疾病所消耗的经济资源。

详细见:疾病的“经济负担”怎么计算?

 

参考资料:

陈文. 卫生经济学 [M]. 人民卫生出版社. 2017.

李茜瑶,周莹,黄辉等.疾病负担研究进展[J].中国公共卫生,2018,34(05):777-780.

什么是“年龄标化”?

在流行病学研究中,年龄是多种疾病的危险因素。以发病率为例,该指标反映了一定时期内,特定人群中癌症新发病例的情况。由于年龄是癌症发生的一个重要影响因素,年龄越大,发病率就越高。

 

如果两个国家的人群年龄结构相差很大,例如A市老年人口比例更大,B市年轻人口占比更高,直接比较两地癌症发病率的高低,我们不能确定发病率较高的市,是因为年龄构成不同还是因为其他影响因素(如饮食习惯、环境等)所导致。因此,需要用“年龄标化”的统计学方法,进一步处理数据,排除年龄影响因素的干扰,再来比较两地的发病率数据。

 

以发病率为例,即把原始数据套到一个“标准年龄结构人群里”,计算出”年龄标化发病率“,这样人群结构不同的A市和B市,就能在同一个指标尺度下进行“发病率”比较。年龄标化通常有“中标率”,即我国各地基于某一年份的中国人口年龄结构构成作为标准计算,国内不同地区的疾病数据比较采用的是“中标率”;另一种是“世标率”,即用世界标准人口构成机型标化计算,适用于国与国之间的指标比较。

 

同样地,以死亡率为例,应特别注意各之间地人口构成的差异。用标准化死亡率进行比较才能得出正确结论。如甲、乙两地在未标化前的肺癌死亡率相同,但实际上乙地人群的肺癌死亡率要明显地高于甲地,其原因在于甲地男性老年人口居多,而肺癌的死亡率又与年龄和性别有关,所以用未标化率进行比较时,就会得出甲乙两地肺癌死亡率相同的错误结论。

 

参考资料:

 

张科宏教授:年龄标化的患病率 – 丁香公开课 (dxy.cn)

科学网—癌症(粗)发病率与标化发病率的区别 – 杨雷的博文 (sciencenet.cn)

WHO年龄标化死亡率定义及计算方法

沈洪兵,齐秀英. 流行病学 [M]. 人民卫生出版社. 2015.

疾病的“经济负担”怎么计算?

疾病经济负担是由于发病、伤残(失能)和过早死亡给患者本人、家庭以及社会带来的经济损失,和由于预防治疗疾病的费用。通过计算疾病的经济负担,可以从经济层面上研究或比较不同疾病对人群健康的影响。

总疾病经济负担包括直接疾病经济负担、间接疾病经济负担和无形疾病经济负担。

直接经济负担:指直接用于预防和治疗疾病的总费用,包括直接医疗经济负担和直接非医疗经济负担两部分。直接医疗经济负担是指在医药保健部门购买卫生服务的花费,主要包括门诊费(如挂号费、检查费、处置费、诊断费、急救费等)、住院费(如手术费、治疗费等)和药费等。直接非医疗经济负担包括和疾病有关的营养费、交通费、住宿费、膳食费、陪护费和财产损失等。

间接经济负担:指由于发病、伤残(失能)和过早死亡给患者本人和社会带来的有效劳动力损失而导致的经济损失。具体包括:劳动工作时间损失、个人工作能力和效率降低造成的损失、陪护病人时损失的劳动工作时间、精神损失等。

无形经济负担:指患者及亲友因疾病在心理、精神和生活上遭受的痛苦、悲哀、不便等生活质量下降而产生的无形损失。

 

参考资料:

陈文. 卫生经济学 [M]. 人民卫生出版社. 2017.

李茜瑶,周莹,黄辉等.疾病负担研究进展[J].中国公共卫生,2018,34(05):777-780.