Issue 68|| Establish a Dynamic Adjustment Mechanism for China’s National Immunization Program;Health impact and economic evaluation of the expanded program on immunization program in China from 1974-2024

Policy Updates

01

Establish a Dynamic Adjustment Mechanism for China’s National Immunization Program

On April 19, the 2025 Vaccine and Health Conference was held in Wuhan. In his keynote speech, Dr.Shen Hongbing, Deputy Director of the National Health Commission and Director of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), emphasized that the scope of vaccines included in China’s National Immunization Program (NIP) still lags behind international consensus. He announced that China will optimize its NIP strategies based on the principles of comprehensive planning, dynamic adjustment, and phased implementation. Future research directions for dynamically adjusting the NIP include:

1)Introducing new vaccines: Vaccines that are internationally recognized, target diseases with heavy burden, demonstrate high cost-effectiveness, have sufficient production capacity to meet demand, and are financially sustainable should be incorporated into the NIP as soon as possible.

2)Optimizing existing immunization schedules: Immunization programs should be adjusted based on changes in epidemiological patterns, prevention and control goals, and vaccine characteristics.

3)Exploring vaccine withdrawal procedures: Vaccines that are not intended for universal population-wide immunization, or are no longer aligning with disease control needs, should be considered for withdrawal from the NIP or being recategorized as reserve vaccines.

Source: Southern Metropolis Daily, The Paper

Journal Article Recommendation

01

Health impact and economic evaluation of the expanded program on immunization program in China from 1974-2024: a modelling study 

This article, published in The Lancet Public Health by Hai Fang et al., quantifies the health and economic impacts of China’s Expanded Program on Immunization (EPI) over the period 1974–2024, providing critical evidence for informing global immunization policies.

Using mathematical modelling, the study compared two scenarios: the real-world vaccination scenario (routine immunization for children aged 0–6 years) and a counterfactual no-vaccination scenario (vaccine coverage set to zero), to estimate the health and economic benefits of vaccines targeting eight pathogens (measles, pertussis, hepatitis B, tuberculosis, hepatitis A, Japanese encephalitis, meningitis A, and poliomyelitis) included in China’s EPI.

The findings showed that from 1974 to 2024, China’s EPI averted approximately 703.02 million cases of disease and 2.48 million deaths, equivalent to 160.22 million disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) averted. Based on the birth cohort approach, the study projected that lifetime vaccination would avert 707.41 million cases and 7.01 million deaths, reducing 279.02 million DALYs, thereby demonstrating the sustained release of long-term health benefits and herd immunity effects resulting from childhood vaccination.

From a societal perspective, the aggregated cost of vaccination over the period was estimated at US$124.06 billion, while the total benefits reached US$2,417.85 billion. The overall benefit–cost ratio was 19.48 from the societal perspective and 8.02 from the health-care provider’s perspective, confirming that China’s EPI generated exceptionally high economic returns.

The study concludes that China’s EPI has achieved remarkable improvements in health and economic outcomes over the past 50 years. To maintain high vaccination coverage and expand vaccine inclusion both within China and globally, sustained investment in immunization programs is necessary to support the goals of the Immunization Agenda 2030.

https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(25)00039-8

02

Health economics evaluation of vaccination strategies for different human papillomavirus vaccines for 12‑year‑old female adolescents in China

This study, published in the Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine,aimed to analyze the cost-effectiveness of administering two doses of different types of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines to 12-year-old female adolescents, providing evidence to optimize HPV vaccination strategies in China. A decision tree–Markov model was constructed, targeting genital warts and cervical cancer as outcomes. Vaccine prices were set based on either the procurement price in pilot provinces (for HPV-2) or 50% of the self-paid market price (for HPV-4 and HPV-9). The model simulated a 12-year-old female adolescent cohort in 2023, comparing strategies of no vaccination, two doses of bivalent (HPV-2), quadrivalent (HPV-4), or nonavalent (HPV-9) vaccination. Outcomes assessed included the number of cervical cancer and genital wart cases prevented, total costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-utility ratios (ICURs).

The results showed that, compared to no vaccination, two doses of HPV-2, HPV-4, and HPV-9 could respectively prevent 55.2% of cervical cancer cases, 77.11% and 78.68% of genital wart cases, and 54.99% and 73.46% of cervical cancer cases. The ICURs for HPV-2, HPV-4, and HPV-9 vaccination strategies were –28,470.44 CNY/QALY, 29,328.26 CNY/QALY, and 48,106.85 CNY/QALY, respectively, all below the national per capita GDP threshold for 2023. Single-factor sensitivity analysis demonstrated robust results, with the discount rate, vaccine prices, and direct medical costs for low-grade precancerous lesions identified as the most influential parameters. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that, compared to the 2023 national per capita GDP, the probability of HPV-2, HPV-4, and HPV-9 being cost-effective relative to no vaccination was 99.51%, 89.03%, and 67.81%, respectively. Moreover, only if the price per dose of HPV-4 and HPV-9 dropped below 26.12% and 20.68% of the current self-paid vaccination price, respectively, could a net cost saving be achieved.

In the case where HPV‑2 adopts the pilot province procurement price and the multivalent vaccine adopts a 50% self‑funded vaccination price, the vaccination of 12‑year‑old female adolescents with HPV‑2, HPV‑4 and HPV‑9 has cost‑effectiveness, and HPV‑2 is the most economical strategy.

https://doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.cn112150-20241120-00925

03

The barriers and facilitators of herpes zoster vaccination intentions of urban residents in China: a qualitative study

This study, published in Global Health Research and Policy, systematically explored the factors influencing herpes zoster (HZ) vaccination intentions among urban residents in China using a qualitative research approach. Guided by the Health Belief Model (HBM), the research conducted 12 focus group discussions across Beijing, Weifang (Shandong Province), and Nanning (Guangxi Province), involving a total of 59 urban residents aged 20 years and older. The study systematically analyzed participants’ knowledge of HZ, attitudes toward vaccination, risk perceptions, willingness to vaccinate, as well as key barriers and facilitators influencing vaccination behaviors.

The results revealed a low willingness to receive HZ vaccination among participants (27.1%). Major barriers included: (1) limited knowledge of HZ, including prevalence, risk factors, and complications; (2) the high cost of the vaccine (approximately RMB 3,200 for two doses); (3) limited access to reliable information sources; (4) insufficient knowledge among healthcare providers; and (5) concerns about vaccine safety and efficacy. Key facilitators for vaccination included personal experience of HZ-related pain, fear of recurrence, heightened risk perception, recommendations from healthcare providers, and the availability of policy subsidies.

The study recommends implementing multifaceted interventions: (1) strengthening community health education to enhance public awareness, especially among high-risk populations (≥50 years old); (2) reinforcing the role of primary healthcare providers in vaccine advocacy; and (3) exploring inclusion of HZ vaccination in immunization programs or establishing financial subsidy mechanisms to lower economic barriers.

The findings emphasize that authoritative advocacy from government bodies and professional organizations is critical in breaking down information barriers, enhancing vaccine confidence, and optimizing vaccination strategies. The study further suggests that future interventions should be refined through ongoing quantitative research.

https://doi.org/10.1186/s41256-025-00413-1

04

Systematic review and meta-analysis of interventions to increase the uptake of vaccines recommended during pregnancy

This article, published in NPJ Vaccines, evaluated the effectiveness of interventions aimed at improving the uptake of vaccines recommended during pregnancy through a systematic review and meta-analysis. The research team searched the literature up to July 2023, ultimately including 36 intervention studies, encompassing 18 demand-side interventions (such as patient education and SMS reminders), 11 supply-side interventions (such as healthcare quality improvement and performance incentives), and 7 multi-level interventions, covering vaccines including influenza, pertussis, tetanus, and COVID-19 vaccines. A random-effects meta-analysis was conducted, and the quality of evidence was assessed using the GRADE framework.

The results showed that demand-side interventions, particularly those involving patient education (e.g., brochures, videos, or one-on-one counseling), had modest effects (pooled RR = 1.18; 95% CI: 1.04–1.33), though the certainty of evidence was low (I² = 63.1%). SMS reminders alone did not significantly improve influenza vaccination rates (RR = 1.01; 95% CI: 0.93–1.09).

Supply-side interventions, such as quality improvement initiatives using the Assessment-Feedback-Incentive-eXchange (AFIX) model, showed limited effectiveness (pooled RR = 1.13; 95% CI: 0.96–1.33) with high heterogeneity (I² = 94%) and low certainty of evidence. Multi-level interventions that combined demand- and supply-side strategies produced relatively better outcomes (pooled RR = 1.62; 95% CI: 1.09–2.42), but with extremely high heterogeneity (I² = 97%) and very low certainty.

The study concluded that existing interventions have only modest effects on improving vaccination uptake during pregnancy, and their effectiveness varies significantly depending on geographical region, vaccine type, and implementation approach. The authors emphasize the need for context-specific strategies and call for more high-quality clinical trials to provide robust evidence to inform policies aimed at promoting vaccine uptake during pregnancy.

*The Assessment-Feedback-Incentive-eXchange (AFIX) model, developed by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), includes four core components: systematic assessment of vaccination coverage data; visualized feedback of results; establishment of incentive mechanisms; and promotion of peer-to-peer information exchange. Operating on a 3–6 month cycle, AFIX is a data-driven, positively reinforced strategy to assist vaccination clinics in continuously improving service delivery. It has been recommended by WHO as an effective approach for enhancing vaccination coverage and is applicable to primary immunization clinic quality improvement and new vaccine rollout efforts.

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41541-025-01120-1

05

Feasibility, Acceptability, and Effectiveness of a Smartphone App to Increase Pretransplant Vaccine Rates: Usability Study

This study, published in JMIR Formative Research, adopted a prospective cohort design to evaluate the effectiveness of the Immunize PediatricTransplant smartphone application in improving vaccine uptake among pediatric organ transplant candidates. It also assessed the app’s feasibility and acceptability among parents and transplant teams. From November 2021 to July 2023, 25 parent-provider dyads were recruited from three pediatric transplant centers in the United States (Children’s Hospital Colorado, Lurie Children’s Hospital, and the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia), involving children awaiting liver, kidney, or heart transplants. The study was conducted in two phases: First, the child’s vaccination history was entered into the app; then, the parent and transplant providers used the app to share immunization information, access educational resources, and receive vaccine reminders. The primary outcome was the completion of all age-appropriate vaccinations by the time of transplant. Secondary outcomes included app usability and user satisfaction.

By the end of the study, 96% (24/25) of the children were up to date with all recommended vaccinations, with the only exception being one adolescent whose HPV vaccination was intentionally delayed due to immunosuppressive therapy. Among the 36 parents and providers who completed the exit survey, 97% reported feeling more informed about pretransplant immunizations, and 86% noted improved communication around vaccination. Furthermore, 91% of parents and 79% of providers stated they would recommend the app to other transplant families or teams. Key features rated as most helpful included centralized vaccine records (83%), automated reminders (67%), and educational content (58%).

The Immunize PediatricTransplant app significantly improved vaccine coverage among pediatric transplant candidates and was well received by both parents and healthcare providers. Future improvements may include integrating with electronic medical records (EMRs) and immunization information systems (IISs) to automate vaccine data entry and enhance real-world applicability.

https://doi.org/10.2196/68855

06

Human papillomavirus vaccination at age 9 or 10 years to increase coverage – a narrative review of the literature, United States 2014–2024

This article, published in Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics, systematically reviewed 30 studies published between 2014 and 2024 to assess the potential impact of initiating human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination at ages 9–10 on improving coverage in the U.S. The studies included 11 retrospective cohort studies, 12 intervention studies, and 7 feasibility or acceptability studies.

Retrospective cohort studies revealed that initiating HPV vaccination at ages 9–10 was associated with higher series completion rates compared to initiation at 11–12 years. For example, a study in Minnesota reported a completion rate of 99.5% for the 9–10 age group versus 91.7% for the 11–12 age group. However, these findings were subject to methodological limitations, and a causal relationship could not be established. Intervention studies indicated that multifaceted approaches—including electronic health record alerts, provider training, and patient education—could increase early initiation. However, the specific impact of 9–10 age initiation was difficult to isolate due to the bundled nature of interventions. Notably, 67% of healthcare providers acknowledged the protective value of initiating HPV vaccination at age 9, while 73% expressed concern that parents might not be ready for this recommendation.

The review concluded that although initiating HPV vaccination at ages 9–10 is feasible and potentially beneficial for improving coverage and timely series completion, its broader implementation requires supportive policy environments, targeted provider training, and enhanced parental education. Future high-quality research is needed to assess long-term effectiveness, particularly in low- and middle-income countries.

https://doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2025.2480870


Content Editor: Ziqi Liu

Page Editor: Ziqi Liu

Others

代表性地区的基本情况、接种政策及效果、宣传推动情况

(1) 成都市

 

基本情况

成都市2022年度GDP为20817.5亿元,排名全国城市第七。成都市出台了《健康城市建设推动健康中国行动创新模式成都市宫颈癌综合防控试点工作方案》等一系列相关政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种工作。

接种政策及效果

目标人群为13-14岁在校且无HPV疫苗接种史女生。免疫程序为国产二价0-6二剂次、进口二价0-1-6三剂次、进口四价0-2-6三剂次。资助政策为国产二价疫苗(沃泽惠)免费,其它疫苗补贴600元/人,并自付20元/剂接种费。疫苗接种按照属地化管理原则,由学校所在地预防接种单位负责。截至2022年1月,目标人群首针接种率达90.04%[14]。

宣传推动

成都市开展多形式、多载体的健康教育宣传。形式包括讲座、知晓日、义诊咨询、专题课程、专题活动等,载体包括宣传册、宣传栏、展板、电视、微信、视频号、抖音平台等,覆盖相关医疗机构300余、社区300余个、和公众场所90余个。面向适龄女孩及监护人、适龄女性及全体市民开展广泛宣教,宣传材料发放至近9万名群众,讲座活动覆盖近2万名群众。宣教内容包括HPV疫苗接种、两癌防控、其它女性常见疾病防控等。

(2) 济南市

 

基本情况

济南市2022年度GDP为12027.5亿元,位列全国城市排名20。2021年,济南市出台《健康城市建设推动健康中国行动创新模式试点一济南市宫颈癌综合防治工作方案(2021—2025年)》等一系列相关政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种工作。

接种政策及效果

目标人群为≤14周岁且无HPV疫苗接种史的在校七年级女生。免疫程序为国产二价0-6二剂次。资助政策免费接种。疫苗接种按照属地化管理原则,安排分班级分时段前往学校所在地的预防接种单位进行接种。截至2022年11月,目标人群首针接种率达
94.4%[15].

宣传推动

济南市开展多形式、多载体的健康教育宣传。形式包括采访、线上线下专题活动,载体包括网络媒体、纸媒、科普展板、宣传手册、子宫颈癌与HPV疫苗知识读本、济南HPV疫苗接种手册,宣教人群广泛涵盖全体市民,宣教内容包括HPV疫苗接种、两癌防控等知识。

(3) 鄂尔多斯市

 

基本情况

鄂尔多斯市2022年度GDP为5613.44亿元,全国地级市第45位。2021年,鄂尔多斯市出台了《健康城市建设推动健康鄂尔多斯行动创新模式工作方案》等一系列相关政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种工作。

接种政策及效果

2020年8月,鄂尔多斯市在准格尔旗率先开展HPV疫苗免费接种项目。目标人群为全市当年13-18岁在校且无HPV疫苗接种史女生。免疫程序为进口二价0-1-6三剂次,

2023年起调整为13-14岁女孩0-6二剂次。资助政策为疫苗免费,自付20元/剂接种费。组织方式为疫苗接种服务中心根据任务安排联系学校,有规划的通知适龄女孩前来完成HPV疫苗接种。截至2022年11月,目标人群首针接种率接近70%[16]。

2022年8月,启动准格尔旗和达拉特旗高三女生接种四价和九价HPV疫苗的试点工作,利用暑假时间展开接种,力争在2023年年底达成90%的接种目标[17]。自鄂尔多斯之后,由政府主导的HPV疫苗惠民行动在多地等涌现。值得注意的是,近年来多主体参与到HPV疫苗支持项目,如慈善总会、医院、妇联等为主体单位牵头组织开展了一些公益活动。

宣传推动

鄂尔多斯市开展多形式、多载体的健康教育宣传。形式包括讲座、知晓日、义诊咨询、专题课程、专题活动等,载体包括宣传册、宣传栏、展板、电视、微信、视频号、抖音平台等,宣教人群广泛涵盖在校女孩及监护人,适龄女性及全体市民。宣教内容包括HPV疫苗接种、两癌防控、其它女性常见疾病防控等。

(4) 西安市

 

基本情况

西安市2022年度GDP为11486.51亿元,排名全国第22位。2021年,西安市出台了《西安市健康城市建设推动健康中国行动创新模式试点宫颈癌综合防治工作方案》等一系列相关政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种工作。

接种政策及效果

目标人群为全市年龄满13周岁(初中)在校女生。免疫程序为国产二价0-6二剂次,进口二价0-1-6三剂次,进口四价和进口九价0-2-6三剂次。接种政策为自愿自费。各区(县)合理设立HPV疫苗专项疫苗接种门诊承担接种任务,并及时将接种信息统一录入儿童免疫规划信息平台。

宣传推动

西安市出台了《西安市宫颈癌综合防治宣传方案》(市健办发〔2022〕12号)。通过媒体宣传、社区活动、义诊等形式,宣传册、宣传栏、展板、电视、微信公众号、报纸等载体普及宫颈癌防治相关知识。

(5) 西藏自治区

 

基本情况

西藏自治区2022年度GDP为2132.64亿元,经济总量整体规模相对其他省份较小,人均GDP处于全国中等偏下水平。2022年出台《西藏自治区妇女“两癌”综合防治工作实施方案》等系列政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种。

接种政策及效果

目标人群为13-14岁在校女生。免疫程序为国产二价0-6二剂次。资助政策为免费。由学校组织,接种者在商定接种时间携带个人身份证明材料与法定监护人一同前往定点接种单位接种。

宣传推动

充分利用网络、电视、广播、报刊等媒介,以群众喜闻乐见的宣传方式,对适龄在校女生HPV疫苗接种工作的意义及内容进行广泛宣传。

近年来各地HPV疫苗惠民项目信息

“疾病负担”指标解读

疾病负担(burden of disease, BOD)是指疾病造成的失能(伤残)、生活质量下降和过早死亡对健康和社会造成的总损失,包括疾病的流行病学负担和经济负担两个方面。

 

在疾病的流行病学方面,衡量疾病负担的常用指标包括传统指标和综合指标。

 

传统指标

传统疾病负担的衡量指标包括:用于描述和反映健康状况与水平的常规指标,如死亡人数、伤残人数和患病人数等绝对数指标;以及用来比较不同特征人群疾病分布差异的指标,如发病率、伤残率、患病率、死亡率、门诊和住院率等相对数指标。

 

上述传统疾病负担的衡量指标基本上只考虑了人口的生存数量,而忽略了生存质量,不够全面;但优势在于资料相对计算方便,结果直观,可用于各种疾病的一般性描述。

 

综合指标

疾病负担不等同于死亡人数,综合指标弥补了传统指标的单一性,且可以让各种不同疾病造成的负担之间相互比较。

 

潜在寿命损失年(YPLL):通过疾病造成的寿命损失来估计疾病负担的大小。但忽略了疾病造成的失能对生存质量的影响。

 

伤残调整寿命年(DALYs):将死亡和失能相结合,用一个指标来描述疾病的这两方面的负担。它包括因早死造成健康生命年的损失(YLL)和因伤残造成健康生命年的损失(YLD),即DALY=YLL+YLD。目前,DALY是国内外一致公认的最具代表性、运用最多的疾病负担评价指标。

 

健康期望寿命(HALE):指具有良好健康状态的生命年以及个体在比较舒适的状态下生活的平均预期时间,综合考虑生命的质量和数量两方面。

 

 

随着疾病负担研究的深入,其测量范围从流行病学负担扩大到经济负担。

 

疾病经济负担是由于发病、伤残(失能)和过早死亡给患者本人、家庭以及社会带来的经济损失,和由于预防治疗疾病所消耗的经济资源。

详细见:疾病的“经济负担”怎么计算?

 

参考资料:

陈文. 卫生经济学 [M]. 人民卫生出版社. 2017.

李茜瑶,周莹,黄辉等.疾病负担研究进展[J].中国公共卫生,2018,34(05):777-780.

什么是“年龄标化”?

在流行病学研究中,年龄是多种疾病的危险因素。以发病率为例,该指标反映了一定时期内,特定人群中癌症新发病例的情况。由于年龄是癌症发生的一个重要影响因素,年龄越大,发病率就越高。

 

如果两个国家的人群年龄结构相差很大,例如A市老年人口比例更大,B市年轻人口占比更高,直接比较两地癌症发病率的高低,我们不能确定发病率较高的市,是因为年龄构成不同还是因为其他影响因素(如饮食习惯、环境等)所导致。因此,需要用“年龄标化”的统计学方法,进一步处理数据,排除年龄影响因素的干扰,再来比较两地的发病率数据。

 

以发病率为例,即把原始数据套到一个“标准年龄结构人群里”,计算出”年龄标化发病率“,这样人群结构不同的A市和B市,就能在同一个指标尺度下进行“发病率”比较。年龄标化通常有“中标率”,即我国各地基于某一年份的中国人口年龄结构构成作为标准计算,国内不同地区的疾病数据比较采用的是“中标率”;另一种是“世标率”,即用世界标准人口构成机型标化计算,适用于国与国之间的指标比较。

 

同样地,以死亡率为例,应特别注意各之间地人口构成的差异。用标准化死亡率进行比较才能得出正确结论。如甲、乙两地在未标化前的肺癌死亡率相同,但实际上乙地人群的肺癌死亡率要明显地高于甲地,其原因在于甲地男性老年人口居多,而肺癌的死亡率又与年龄和性别有关,所以用未标化率进行比较时,就会得出甲乙两地肺癌死亡率相同的错误结论。

 

参考资料:

 

张科宏教授:年龄标化的患病率 – 丁香公开课 (dxy.cn)

科学网—癌症(粗)发病率与标化发病率的区别 – 杨雷的博文 (sciencenet.cn)

WHO年龄标化死亡率定义及计算方法

沈洪兵,齐秀英. 流行病学 [M]. 人民卫生出版社. 2015.

疾病的“经济负担”怎么计算?

疾病经济负担是由于发病、伤残(失能)和过早死亡给患者本人、家庭以及社会带来的经济损失,和由于预防治疗疾病的费用。通过计算疾病的经济负担,可以从经济层面上研究或比较不同疾病对人群健康的影响。

总疾病经济负担包括直接疾病经济负担、间接疾病经济负担和无形疾病经济负担。

直接经济负担:指直接用于预防和治疗疾病的总费用,包括直接医疗经济负担和直接非医疗经济负担两部分。直接医疗经济负担是指在医药保健部门购买卫生服务的花费,主要包括门诊费(如挂号费、检查费、处置费、诊断费、急救费等)、住院费(如手术费、治疗费等)和药费等。直接非医疗经济负担包括和疾病有关的营养费、交通费、住宿费、膳食费、陪护费和财产损失等。

间接经济负担:指由于发病、伤残(失能)和过早死亡给患者本人和社会带来的有效劳动力损失而导致的经济损失。具体包括:劳动工作时间损失、个人工作能力和效率降低造成的损失、陪护病人时损失的劳动工作时间、精神损失等。

无形经济负担:指患者及亲友因疾病在心理、精神和生活上遭受的痛苦、悲哀、不便等生活质量下降而产生的无形损失。

 

参考资料:

陈文. 卫生经济学 [M]. 人民卫生出版社. 2017.

李茜瑶,周莹,黄辉等.疾病负担研究进展[J].中国公共卫生,2018,34(05):777-780.