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Issue 49 | Informing HPV vaccine pricing for government-funded vaccination in mainland China;Acceptance of HPV vaccine among boys in Asia

Journal Content Recommandation

01

Informing HPV vaccine pricing for government-funded vaccination in mainland China: a modelling study

This article is published by Fanghui Zhao, Mark Jit et,.al on The Lancet Regional Health-Western Pacific, and aims to assess the cost-effective or cost-saving vaccine price thresholds in the Chinese government-funded HPV vaccination program, providing a reference for the government’s HPV vaccine price negotiations. 

This study validated the transmission model to estimate the health and economic impact of HPV vaccination over a 100-year time horizon from a healthcare payer perspective. A threshold analysis was conducted to evaluate different vaccination scenarios (national, rural, and urban), cervical cancer screening programs, vaccine types (domestic HPV-2, imported HPV-2, HPV-4, and HPV-9), vaccination schedules (two-dose or one-dose), vaccination strategies (routine vaccination with or without later switching to high-valent vaccines), willingness-to-pay thresholds, and decision criteria (cost-effective or cost-saving).

Using the current market price, national routine HPV vaccination with any currently available vaccine is unlikely cost-effective. Under a two-dose schedule, the prices of the four available HPV vaccine types cannot exceed $26–$36 per dose (44.1%–80.2% reduction from current market prices) depending on the vaccine type to ensure the cost-effectiveness of the national program. Adopting the threshold prices would require an annual increase of 72.18%–96.95% of the total annual National Immunization Programme (NIP) budget in China. The cost-saving senario required the vaccine prices dropped to $5–$10 per dose (depending on vaccine type), resulting in a 21.38%–34.23% increase in the annual NIP budget, and taking 6.60%–10.17% of the total budget for cervical cancer control.

Adding the second dose is neither cost-effective nor cost-saving compared to a one-dose schedule. In a supplementary analysis, switching from domestically produced HPV-2 to HPV-9 in the NIP by 2030 required a maximum additional vaccine price of $10–13 (depending on different screening scenarios) per dose for HPV-9 to ensure the cost-effectiveness of the switch. 

Our study could inform vaccine price negotiation and thus facilitate the nationwide scale-up of current HPV vaccination pilot programs in China. The evidence may potentially be valuable to other countries facing HPV introduction barriers due to high costs. This approach may also be adapted for other contexts that involve the introduction of a pricy vaccine.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101209

02

A prospective cohort study comparing the efficacy of 1 dose of quadrivalent human papillomavirus vaccine to 2 and 3 doses at an average follow-up of 12 years postvaccination

The article is published in the Journal of the National Cancer Institute Monographs. Aiming to evaluate the long-term protective efficacy of single-dose, two-dose, and three-dose quadrivalent HPV vaccines. The study was originally designed as a randomized multicenter trial in India, with the initial goal of administering two or three doses of the quadrivalent HPV vaccine to unmarried girls aged 10–18. However, a ministerial decree to halt vaccination in trials resulted in the creation of cohorts receiving different doses, including just a single dose. 

The study established a prospective cohort, and participants were contacted once a year by study staff to check their general health status and update their contact details and marital status. Participants were invited to a clinic to provide cervical samples for HPV genotyping 18 months after marriage or 6 months after first childbirth, whichever was earlier.  Cervical samples were collected yearly for 4 consecutive years by care providers. Married participants underwent HPV testing starting at age 25. Those with positive screening results were invited for colposcopy, while others were advised to undergo screening again after five years. The study also recruited unvaccinated married women, matched by age and residence, as a control group. Vaccine efficacy was assessed using incidence rate ratios. The primary outcome variable was persistent HPV16/18 infection, while secondary outcomes included HPV16/18 infection events and HPV16/18-related CIN2+ severe lesions.

The number of participants in the 1-, 2- (at 0 and 6 months), and 3-dose cohorts was 4949, 4980, and 4348, respectively. Of the recipients, 71%-82% in the different cohorts were eligible to provide samples for genotyping. Vaccine efficacy against persistent HPV 16 and 18 infection was 92.0% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 87.0% to 95.0%) in 3022 recipients of the single dose; and comparable with that observed in the 2-dose arm (94.8%, 95% CI: 90.0% to 97.3%) and the 3-dose arm (95.3%, 95% CI: 90.9% to 97.5%). No high-grade precancer associated with HPV 16 and 18 was detected among vaccinated participants compared with 8 precancers detected among the unvaccinated women.

Additionally, the study found that a single-dose vaccination also provided some cross-protective efficacy against HPV types 31, 33, and 45, though the efficacy was relatively low (29.5%). The HPV positivity rate in the single-dose group was 4.6%, which was lower than that of the two-dose group (6.3%) and the unvaccinated group (7.9%).

This observational cohort study has established that a single dose of HPV vaccine provides high protective efficacy against persistent HPV 16 and 18 infections and associated neoplasia 15 years postvaccination. This study provides evidence supporting cost-saving and program-simplifying solutions for vaccine rollouts in low-income countries.

https://doi.org/10.1093/jncimonographs/lgae042

03

Investigating parental perceptions of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and attitudes to RSV vaccine in Jiangsu, China: Insights from a cross-section study

This article, authored by Leesa Lin, Wang Weibing, et al., published in Vaccine, aimed to assess parents’ perceptions of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and their attitudes toward the RSV vaccine in China.

The cross-section study was performed between August 21 and November 15, 2023, in Jiangsu province, eastern China. We collected socio-demographics, awareness, knowledge, perceptions of susceptibility and severity of RSV, and attitudes towards RSV vaccine using online survey questionnaires from parents of children aged ≤14 years old.

A total of 2135 participants were included. About 26.0 % indicated that they had never heard of RSV (556/2135) and were unaware that infants and young children are at a high risk of contracting RSV (557/2135). The proportion of parents with a child under 1 year of age who were unaware of RSV was notably higher than that of parents with children in other age groups. 42.9 % of parents (916/2135) showed low level of perceived susceptibility of contacting RSV infection for their child. 70.6 % of parents (1508/2135) expressed their willingness to vaccinate their child against RSV. The most common reason for refusing the RSV vaccine was “Concern about vaccine’s safety or side effects.” 60.8 % of participants (1299/2135) considered a price of the RSV vaccine below 200 CNY (28 USD) as acceptable.

The parents, particularly those with younger children, exhibited limited awareness and knowledge regarding RSV infection. Our study also showed the potential role of vaccine price as a barrier to the future use of RSV vaccine in China.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.126570

04

Impact of rotavirus vaccination in Malawi from 2012 to 2022 compared to model predictions

This article was published on npj vaccines. Rotarix® vaccine was introduced into the Malawi national immunization program in October 2012.The study analyzed data on children <5 years old hospitalized with acute gastroenteritis from January 2012 to June 2022, and compared to pre-vaccination data from 1997 to 2009. The study estimated vaccine coverage before, during, and after the COVID-19 pandemic using data from rotavirus-negative children. The study compared the observed weekly number of rotavirus-associated gastroenteritis (RVGE) cases by age to predictions from a previously developed mathematical model to estimate overall vaccine effectiveness. The number of RVGE and rotavirus-negative acute gastroenteritis cases declined substantially following vaccine introduction. Vaccine coverage among rotavirus-negative controls was >90% with two doses by July 2014, and declined to a low of ~80% in October 2020 before returning to pre-pandemic levels by July 2021. Our models captured the post-vaccination trends in RVGE incidence. Comparing observed RVGE cases to the model-predicted incidence without vaccination, overall effectiveness was estimated to be modest at 36.0% (95% prediction interval: 33.6%-39.9%), peaking in 2014, and was highest in infants (52.5%; 95% prediction interval: 50.1%-54.9%).

Research indicates that although the overall vaccine efficacy in low-income countries is relatively limited, mathematical models have validated the vaccine’s significant impact on reducing RVGE incidence. This platform provides important reference data for further optimizing rotavirus vaccine implementation strategies and maximizing vaccine benefits.

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41541-024-01008-6

05

Progress Toward Measles Elimination — Worldwide, 2000–2023

On November 15, 2024, the World Health Organization released a systematic review of global measles elimination progress from 2000 to 2023, covering measles vaccination coverage, outbreaks, and mortality, as well as the surveillance and control of measles epidemics.

In terms of measles vaccination coverage, MCV1 coverage increased worldwide from 71% to 86%, then declined to 81% in 2021 during the COVID-19 pandemic, increased to 83% in 2022, and remained unchanged in 2023. Coverage in all regions declined during 2019–2021 and only increased during 2022–2023 in the African Region, Region of the Americas, and European Region. No region regained its 2019 MCV1 coverage levels. In 2023, MCV1 coverage was 64% in low-income countries, 86% in middle-income countries, and 94% in high-income countries.

In terms of measles outbreaks and mortality, 663,795 measles cases were reported in 2023, representing a 224% increase compared to 2022 (205,173 cases). However, as outbreaks occurred in countries with lower mortality rates, global measles deaths decreased by 8% compared to 2022, dropping to 107,000. In 2023, 57 countries experienced large-scale or severe outbreaks, with 47% occurring in the African region. In low-income countries, the measles incidence rate reached 583 cases per million, while it was 37 and 26 cases per million in middle- and high-income countries, respectively. Additionally, the number of global measles virus genotypes decreased from nine in 2013 to two (D8 and B3) since 2021.

In terms of outbreak surveillance and control, 149 countries globally conducted case surveillance in 2023, with 86 countries (58%) meeting the sensitivity target of identifying at least 2 suspected cases per 100,000 population. The number of laboratory-tested samples increased by 59% compared to 2022. Through immunization campaigns and supplementary immunization activities (SIAs), approximately 112 million measles vaccine doses were administered globally in 2023, further reducing the immunization gap. From 2000 to 2023, measles vaccination cumulatively averted 60.3 million deaths. However, stagnation in vaccination coverage has sustained immunization gaps, with children in low-income countries remaining at particularly high risk.

Overall, global measles vaccination coverage stagnated between 2022 and 2023, with a clear resurgence of outbreaks. While certain regions, such as Africa, showed some improvement, overall progress remains slow, particularly in low-income, fragile, and conflict-affected countries (Fragility, Conflict, and Violence Countries). To address the global immunization gap, efforts must be strengthened in routine immunization, disease surveillance, and improving vaccine equity, to accelerate progress toward global measles elimination.

https://doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm7345a4

06

Acceptance of human papillomavirus vaccine among boys in Asia: A narrative review

This article, authored by Lu Yihan et al., was published in Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics. The burden of HPV-related diseases in males has been rising significantly in recent years. The article reviewed studies published until September 2024 from databases like PubMed, Embase®, and Web of Science, summarizing HPV vaccination acceptance among boys and parents in Asia and exploring influencing factors.

As of October 10, 2024, the following Asian countries have adopted gender-neutral HPV vaccination strategies (Gender Neutral Vaccination), where both males and females receive the HPV vaccine: Bahrain, Bhutan, Cyprus, Georgia, Israel, Kuwait, Qatar, Turkmenistan, and the United Arab Emirates. The study found that HPV vaccine acceptance rates among boys ranged from 48.4% to 69.9%, while parental acceptance ranged from 10.0% to 91.0%. In recent years, acceptance has shown an upward trend as awareness of HPV and its vaccine has increased. Factors influencing acceptance include perceived risks of HPV-related diseases and vaccine benefits, potential barriers, sociodemographic characteristics, levels of knowledge and awareness about HPV and the vaccine, and social support factors.

https://doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2024.2429894

Content Editor: Xiaotong Yang

Page Editor: Ziqi Liu

Others

代表性地区的基本情况、接种政策及效果、宣传推动情况

(1) 成都市

 

基本情况

成都市2022年度GDP为20817.5亿元,排名全国城市第七。成都市出台了《健康城市建设推动健康中国行动创新模式成都市宫颈癌综合防控试点工作方案》等一系列相关政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种工作。

接种政策及效果

目标人群为13-14岁在校且无HPV疫苗接种史女生。免疫程序为国产二价0-6二剂次、进口二价0-1-6三剂次、进口四价0-2-6三剂次。资助政策为国产二价疫苗(沃泽惠)免费,其它疫苗补贴600元/人,并自付20元/剂接种费。疫苗接种按照属地化管理原则,由学校所在地预防接种单位负责。截至2022年1月,目标人群首针接种率达90.04%[14]。

宣传推动

成都市开展多形式、多载体的健康教育宣传。形式包括讲座、知晓日、义诊咨询、专题课程、专题活动等,载体包括宣传册、宣传栏、展板、电视、微信、视频号、抖音平台等,覆盖相关医疗机构300余、社区300余个、和公众场所90余个。面向适龄女孩及监护人、适龄女性及全体市民开展广泛宣教,宣传材料发放至近9万名群众,讲座活动覆盖近2万名群众。宣教内容包括HPV疫苗接种、两癌防控、其它女性常见疾病防控等。

(2) 济南市

 

基本情况

济南市2022年度GDP为12027.5亿元,位列全国城市排名20。2021年,济南市出台《健康城市建设推动健康中国行动创新模式试点一济南市宫颈癌综合防治工作方案(2021—2025年)》等一系列相关政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种工作。

接种政策及效果

目标人群为≤14周岁且无HPV疫苗接种史的在校七年级女生。免疫程序为国产二价0-6二剂次。资助政策免费接种。疫苗接种按照属地化管理原则,安排分班级分时段前往学校所在地的预防接种单位进行接种。截至2022年11月,目标人群首针接种率达
94.4%[15].

宣传推动

济南市开展多形式、多载体的健康教育宣传。形式包括采访、线上线下专题活动,载体包括网络媒体、纸媒、科普展板、宣传手册、子宫颈癌与HPV疫苗知识读本、济南HPV疫苗接种手册,宣教人群广泛涵盖全体市民,宣教内容包括HPV疫苗接种、两癌防控等知识。

(3) 鄂尔多斯市

 

基本情况

鄂尔多斯市2022年度GDP为5613.44亿元,全国地级市第45位。2021年,鄂尔多斯市出台了《健康城市建设推动健康鄂尔多斯行动创新模式工作方案》等一系列相关政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种工作。

接种政策及效果

2020年8月,鄂尔多斯市在准格尔旗率先开展HPV疫苗免费接种项目。目标人群为全市当年13-18岁在校且无HPV疫苗接种史女生。免疫程序为进口二价0-1-6三剂次,

2023年起调整为13-14岁女孩0-6二剂次。资助政策为疫苗免费,自付20元/剂接种费。组织方式为疫苗接种服务中心根据任务安排联系学校,有规划的通知适龄女孩前来完成HPV疫苗接种。截至2022年11月,目标人群首针接种率接近70%[16]。

2022年8月,启动准格尔旗和达拉特旗高三女生接种四价和九价HPV疫苗的试点工作,利用暑假时间展开接种,力争在2023年年底达成90%的接种目标[17]。自鄂尔多斯之后,由政府主导的HPV疫苗惠民行动在多地等涌现。值得注意的是,近年来多主体参与到HPV疫苗支持项目,如慈善总会、医院、妇联等为主体单位牵头组织开展了一些公益活动。

宣传推动

鄂尔多斯市开展多形式、多载体的健康教育宣传。形式包括讲座、知晓日、义诊咨询、专题课程、专题活动等,载体包括宣传册、宣传栏、展板、电视、微信、视频号、抖音平台等,宣教人群广泛涵盖在校女孩及监护人,适龄女性及全体市民。宣教内容包括HPV疫苗接种、两癌防控、其它女性常见疾病防控等。

(4) 西安市

 

基本情况

西安市2022年度GDP为11486.51亿元,排名全国第22位。2021年,西安市出台了《西安市健康城市建设推动健康中国行动创新模式试点宫颈癌综合防治工作方案》等一系列相关政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种工作。

接种政策及效果

目标人群为全市年龄满13周岁(初中)在校女生。免疫程序为国产二价0-6二剂次,进口二价0-1-6三剂次,进口四价和进口九价0-2-6三剂次。接种政策为自愿自费。各区(县)合理设立HPV疫苗专项疫苗接种门诊承担接种任务,并及时将接种信息统一录入儿童免疫规划信息平台。

宣传推动

西安市出台了《西安市宫颈癌综合防治宣传方案》(市健办发〔2022〕12号)。通过媒体宣传、社区活动、义诊等形式,宣传册、宣传栏、展板、电视、微信公众号、报纸等载体普及宫颈癌防治相关知识。

(5) 西藏自治区

 

基本情况

西藏自治区2022年度GDP为2132.64亿元,经济总量整体规模相对其他省份较小,人均GDP处于全国中等偏下水平。2022年出台《西藏自治区妇女“两癌”综合防治工作实施方案》等系列政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种。

接种政策及效果

目标人群为13-14岁在校女生。免疫程序为国产二价0-6二剂次。资助政策为免费。由学校组织,接种者在商定接种时间携带个人身份证明材料与法定监护人一同前往定点接种单位接种。

宣传推动

充分利用网络、电视、广播、报刊等媒介,以群众喜闻乐见的宣传方式,对适龄在校女生HPV疫苗接种工作的意义及内容进行广泛宣传。

近年来各地HPV疫苗惠民项目信息

“疾病负担”指标解读

疾病负担(burden of disease, BOD)是指疾病造成的失能(伤残)、生活质量下降和过早死亡对健康和社会造成的总损失,包括疾病的流行病学负担和经济负担两个方面。

 

在疾病的流行病学方面,衡量疾病负担的常用指标包括传统指标和综合指标。

 

传统指标

传统疾病负担的衡量指标包括:用于描述和反映健康状况与水平的常规指标,如死亡人数、伤残人数和患病人数等绝对数指标;以及用来比较不同特征人群疾病分布差异的指标,如发病率、伤残率、患病率、死亡率、门诊和住院率等相对数指标。

 

上述传统疾病负担的衡量指标基本上只考虑了人口的生存数量,而忽略了生存质量,不够全面;但优势在于资料相对计算方便,结果直观,可用于各种疾病的一般性描述。

 

综合指标

疾病负担不等同于死亡人数,综合指标弥补了传统指标的单一性,且可以让各种不同疾病造成的负担之间相互比较。

 

潜在寿命损失年(YPLL):通过疾病造成的寿命损失来估计疾病负担的大小。但忽略了疾病造成的失能对生存质量的影响。

 

伤残调整寿命年(DALYs):将死亡和失能相结合,用一个指标来描述疾病的这两方面的负担。它包括因早死造成健康生命年的损失(YLL)和因伤残造成健康生命年的损失(YLD),即DALY=YLL+YLD。目前,DALY是国内外一致公认的最具代表性、运用最多的疾病负担评价指标。

 

健康期望寿命(HALE):指具有良好健康状态的生命年以及个体在比较舒适的状态下生活的平均预期时间,综合考虑生命的质量和数量两方面。

 

 

随着疾病负担研究的深入,其测量范围从流行病学负担扩大到经济负担。

 

疾病经济负担是由于发病、伤残(失能)和过早死亡给患者本人、家庭以及社会带来的经济损失,和由于预防治疗疾病所消耗的经济资源。

详细见:疾病的“经济负担”怎么计算?

 

参考资料:

陈文. 卫生经济学 [M]. 人民卫生出版社. 2017.

李茜瑶,周莹,黄辉等.疾病负担研究进展[J].中国公共卫生,2018,34(05):777-780.

什么是“年龄标化”?

在流行病学研究中,年龄是多种疾病的危险因素。以发病率为例,该指标反映了一定时期内,特定人群中癌症新发病例的情况。由于年龄是癌症发生的一个重要影响因素,年龄越大,发病率就越高。

 

如果两个国家的人群年龄结构相差很大,例如A市老年人口比例更大,B市年轻人口占比更高,直接比较两地癌症发病率的高低,我们不能确定发病率较高的市,是因为年龄构成不同还是因为其他影响因素(如饮食习惯、环境等)所导致。因此,需要用“年龄标化”的统计学方法,进一步处理数据,排除年龄影响因素的干扰,再来比较两地的发病率数据。

 

以发病率为例,即把原始数据套到一个“标准年龄结构人群里”,计算出”年龄标化发病率“,这样人群结构不同的A市和B市,就能在同一个指标尺度下进行“发病率”比较。年龄标化通常有“中标率”,即我国各地基于某一年份的中国人口年龄结构构成作为标准计算,国内不同地区的疾病数据比较采用的是“中标率”;另一种是“世标率”,即用世界标准人口构成机型标化计算,适用于国与国之间的指标比较。

 

同样地,以死亡率为例,应特别注意各之间地人口构成的差异。用标准化死亡率进行比较才能得出正确结论。如甲、乙两地在未标化前的肺癌死亡率相同,但实际上乙地人群的肺癌死亡率要明显地高于甲地,其原因在于甲地男性老年人口居多,而肺癌的死亡率又与年龄和性别有关,所以用未标化率进行比较时,就会得出甲乙两地肺癌死亡率相同的错误结论。

 

参考资料:

 

张科宏教授:年龄标化的患病率 – 丁香公开课 (dxy.cn)

科学网—癌症(粗)发病率与标化发病率的区别 – 杨雷的博文 (sciencenet.cn)

WHO年龄标化死亡率定义及计算方法

沈洪兵,齐秀英. 流行病学 [M]. 人民卫生出版社. 2015.

疾病的“经济负担”怎么计算?

疾病经济负担是由于发病、伤残(失能)和过早死亡给患者本人、家庭以及社会带来的经济损失,和由于预防治疗疾病的费用。通过计算疾病的经济负担,可以从经济层面上研究或比较不同疾病对人群健康的影响。

总疾病经济负担包括直接疾病经济负担、间接疾病经济负担和无形疾病经济负担。

直接经济负担:指直接用于预防和治疗疾病的总费用,包括直接医疗经济负担和直接非医疗经济负担两部分。直接医疗经济负担是指在医药保健部门购买卫生服务的花费,主要包括门诊费(如挂号费、检查费、处置费、诊断费、急救费等)、住院费(如手术费、治疗费等)和药费等。直接非医疗经济负担包括和疾病有关的营养费、交通费、住宿费、膳食费、陪护费和财产损失等。

间接经济负担:指由于发病、伤残(失能)和过早死亡给患者本人和社会带来的有效劳动力损失而导致的经济损失。具体包括:劳动工作时间损失、个人工作能力和效率降低造成的损失、陪护病人时损失的劳动工作时间、精神损失等。

无形经济负担:指患者及亲友因疾病在心理、精神和生活上遭受的痛苦、悲哀、不便等生活质量下降而产生的无形损失。

 

参考资料:

陈文. 卫生经济学 [M]. 人民卫生出版社. 2017.

李茜瑶,周莹,黄辉等.疾病负担研究进展[J].中国公共卫生,2018,34(05):777-780.