NIP Country Case Series | HPV Vaccination Implementation in Scotland, UK

Scotland is one of the four constituent nations of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, with a population of approximately 5.5 million, accounting for about 8% of the UK’s total population (1). Its economy is centered on the sectors of energy, life sciences, and financial services, contributing around 7–8% to the UK’s gross domestic product. As an important economic and cultural part of the UK, Scotland has a high degree of autonomy, with its legislative powers in areas such as health and education, and has long implemented its own public health policies (2). Since 2000, Scotland has recorded approximately 320 new cases of cervical cancer annually, with the highest incidence observed among young women aged 35–40 (3).

1. HPV Vaccination Policy Background and Roadmap

In June 2007, the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunization (JCVI) in the UK recommended to the Department of Health that routine HPV vaccination should be offered to girls aged 12–13 (4). This recommendation was based on a comprehensive assessment including cost-effectiveness, feasibility of school-based delivery, the timing of sexual health education in schools, and the evidence of increasing HPV risk after age 14 (5, 6). Additionally, updated economic models supported a catch-up campaign targeting girls aged 13–17 starting September 2008 (7).

Based on the JCVI’s recommendations, National Health Service (NHS) Scotland launched its HPV vaccination program in 2008 to reduce the incidence of HPV-related cancers. Beginning in September 2008, regular three-dose vaccination was provided to girls aged 12–13 (typically in the second year of middle schools), targeting approximately 25,500 girls annually (3, 8). Between September 2008 and August 2011, a catch-up program covering girls aged 13–17 aimed to reach around 77,000 individuals. Although a specific uptake goal was not set initially, an uptake rate of ≥80% was expected. In reality, coverage in the first and second years reached 91.4% and 90.1%, respectively (3, 7).

2. High Vaccination Coverage: Planning and Implementation

The HPV vaccination program in Scotland achieved remarkable success. In the first year of implementation (2008–2009), 91.4% of girls in the regular vaccination cohort completed the three-dose vaccine series, significantly higher than the UK average of 83.5%. This success continued into the second year of the program (2009–2010), with a sustained high coverage rate of 90.1% among the target population.

The design and implementation of Scotland’s HPV vaccination program exemplify a model of systematic public health intervention. During the planning phase, a comprehensive assessment led to the adoption of a school-based vaccination model, for its advantages in accessibility, efficiency, and ease of monitoring (3). All in-school girls aged 12–13 received their immunization through organized school-based sessions. (9). For adolescent girls out of school, particularly those aged over 16, local health boards had the flexibility to deliver vaccinations through general practice or dedicated immunization centers, enhancing access for hard-to-reach populations (3).

The program was managed using the PRINCE2 standardized project management framework, with a dedicated project manager responsible for overseeing workflows and managing risks. To support implementation, five specialized workstreams were established, each responsible for a key operational domain. These workstreams included representatives from public health, Health Protection Scotland, local health boards, national support agencies (data and communications teams), and the Scottish Government. All members participated on a voluntary basis. Each workstream typically held monthly meetings, with frequencies adjusted according to project phases (3).

Scotland adopted an innovative phased implementation strategy, with the regular and supplementary vaccination programs launched simultaneously in September 2008. The catch-up cohort was stratified by age, initially targeting 16–17-year-olds, then extending to 13–16-year-olds, over a three-year period. The program’s design carefully considered age-specific health needs and feasibility constraints. It also defined “hard-to-reach groups”, the high-risk populations with lower vaccination uptake due to socioeconomic disadvantage, remote locations, or healthcare access barriers. Tailored interventions such as community outreach and mobile vaccination units were introduced to address these disparities.

Following completion of the initial rollout, Scotland transitioned from a bivalent to a quadrivalent HPV vaccine in 2012, which also protects against genital warts. In 2014, the vaccination schedule was adjusted from a three-dose to a two-dose regimen. In 2017, the program was expanded to include gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM), and in 2019 it evolved into a national HPV vaccination program. In 2022, Scotland introduced the 9-valent HPV vaccine, which protects against HPV types responsible for approximately 87% of cervical cancers. By 2023, the dosage schedule was further streamlined to a single-dose regimen, as illustrated in Figure 1 (3, 10, 11).

Figure 1 Timeline of HPV vaccination implementation in Scotland and monitoring of related diseases

3. Organizational Structure of HPV Vaccination in Scotland

The HPV vaccination program in Scotland was driven by a coordinated network of specialized work streams, forming a clearly defined, multi-sectoral organizational structure. Under the National Steering Group, several working groups have been established, with the Service Core Implementation Working Group coordinating the overall execution of the program. key stakeholders include the Scottish Government, NHS Scotland, local health authorities, and relevant education departments (8). Under the Core Implementation Working Group, the structure includes:

  • Service Delivery Workstream is responsible for ensuring that NHS comprehensively oversees HPV vaccination preparations. By establishing collaboration mechanisms with local health boards, it ensures effective alignment across local immunization service delivery, data transfer, and vaccine distribution. Under this group, the Pharmacy and Prescription Working Group oversees prescription guidelines, procurement, storage, transportation, and regulatory compliance, led by NHS pharmaceutical experts.
  • Data Management Workstream is tasked with identifying the target population, optimizing the national information systems, and ensuring smooth data exchange between the education and public health sectors. Its core members include experts in data science and epidemiology.
  • Public and Professional Communication and Educational Workstream is responsible for public and professional outreach, including multimedia campaigns and training for immunization staff. It is headed by senior experts in the field of health communication.
  • Epidemiology and Surveillance Workstream oversees program evaluation and long-term impact monitoring, coordinating inter-regional laboratory collaborations. Its core team includes data analysts, statisticians, and public health professionals.

In addition, all working groups were horizontally integrated through a Core Implementation Team, which ensured synchronized progress via monthly meetings. Strategic decision-making and risk management were overseen by a Government Steering Group, reflecting a robust multi-level governance structure and effective cross-sectoral collaboration (3) (see Figure 2).

Figure 2 Organizational Structure of HPV Vaccination in Scotland

3.1 Service Delivery

This workstream ensures NHS preparedness for HPV vaccination and establishes collaboration with local health boards, covering local immunization delivery, data flow, and vaccine distribution. The Service Delivery Workstream is responsible for reviewing implementation plans from health boards, promoting the sharing of best practices, and ensuring equitable vaccine access for “hard-to-reach” populations. The group also addresses issues related to informed consent and is led by the Scottish Government, which negotiates enhanced service arrangements with primary care practitioners across the country. Its members include representatives from health boards, schools, the education sector, school nurses, general practitioners (GPs), pharmacists, and other workstreams, and it is chaired by a senior clinical public health doctor.

As a subgroup within the Service Delivery Workstream, the Pharmacy and Prescribing working group provides pharmaceutical advice and establishes protocols to ensure the safe prescription (including national patient group directions), supply, and management of vaccines. It ensures that procurement, storage, and distribution comply with relevant legal and regulatory standards and sets up local ordering and distribution systems. Progress and updates are shared through the Scottish Vaccine Update newsletter. Members include pharmacy and logistics experts and representatives from Health Boards, and it is chaired by an NHS pharmacist.

3.2 Data Management

This workstream is responsible for identifying eligible individuals for vaccination and coordinating recall and tracking mechanisms in line with the vaccination schedule. It ensures smooth data flow from invitation to record-keeping, which requires technical adjustments to national information systems and the generation of coverage data. It also ensures effective linkage between the education and public health sectors, allowing follow-up of girls who have left school. Members include specialists in system design, data analysis, epidemiology, and representatives from health boards, education, screening programs, and general practice. It is chaired by a public health physician experienced in managing national data systems.

3.3 Public and Professional Communication and Education

This workstream designs and implements multimedia campaigns to enhance acceptance of the HPV vaccine among girls, their parents, educators, and healthcare providers. Professional communication tools include stakeholder briefings, regular professional letters to service providers, and training for immunization nurses. For school-leavers, a “pink promotional bus” was used to raise awareness. Members come from communications, training, epidemiology, schools, the NHS 24-hour helpline and etc. The group is chaired by a senior communications expert from the NHS.

3.4 Epidemiology and Surveillance

This workstream develops tools to evaluate vaccine coverage and safety and monitors the vaccine’s impact on high-risk HPV infections, cervical cancer, and precancerous lesions. The aim is to provide evidence-based guidance on the balance between screening, HPV testing, and vaccination strategies. A national Scottish HPV Reference Laboratory was established, working in partnership with the UK Health Security Agency (formerly Public Health England) to ensure cross-regional monitoring consistency. Members include epidemiologists, lab representatives, statisticians, and experts from the data management group and health boards. It is chaired by a senior clinical lead for Health Protection Scotland.

3.5 Project Coordination and Oversight

The progress of all working groups is coordinated through monthly meetings of the Service Core Implementation Group, composed of group chairs, project managers, and representatives from the Scottish Government. A government-appointed Steering Group oversees the entire program, approves strategic decisions, and commissions third-party Gateway Reviews to assess risks, governance, and processes at key stages. The Steering Group meets quarterly and includes senior stakeholders from education, public health, schools, and patient advocacy. It is chaired by a senior executive from a health board not directly involved in the project.

4. Positive Impact of Vaccination

Scotland was among the first to implement bivalent and quadrivalent HPV vaccines, both of which protect against HPV types 16 and 18, high-risk strains strongly associated with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN). Studies have shown that these vaccines induce durable neutralizing antibody responses and effectively prevent related lesions. The bivalent vaccine also offers some cross-protection against other high-risk types related to HPV 16 and 18, such as HPV 31, 33, and 45, while the quadrivalent vaccine provides partial cross-protection against HPV 31 and 33 as well (12, 13). Moreover, data indicate that among unvaccinated women in Scotland, the prevalence of HPV 16 and 18 was significantly lower in 2013 compared to 2009 (21.2% vs. 30%), suggesting a herd immunity effect resulting from the vaccination program (14). Population-based surveillance data show a strong association between HPV vaccination and reduced prevalence of both low- and high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN1 and above) among young women (15). In Scotland, the administration of three doses of the bivalent vaccine led to a 50% reduction in CIN2 and a 55% reduction in CIN3 incidence. Notably, these significant effects were observed within the catch-up cohort, implying even greater effectiveness is likely in the routinely vaccinated population (14).

Figure 3: HPV testing results among vaccinated and unvaccinated women in Scotland, 2009–2013

Study findings underscore the remarkable protective effects of HPV vaccination against cervical disease and cancer. A retrospective population study published in the British Medical Journal reported that girls vaccinated with the bivalent HPV vaccine at ages 12–13 had, by age 20, an 89% reduction in CIN3 or more severe lesions, an 88% reduction in CIN2+, and a 79% reduction in CIN1.

In addition, a reduction in cervical lesion risk was also observed among unvaccinated women(16). Further confirmation came from a study published in the Lancet, which found that HPV vaccination reduced the incidence of cervical cancer by 87% among women vaccinated at ages 12–13(17). According to the latest NHS research, no cervical cancer cases have been detected among women who were fully vaccinated at those ages, highlighting the vaccine’s highly effective preventive role (10). These studies provide direct evidence of the HPV vaccine’s efficacy in cervical cancer prevention and emphasize the critical importance of early vaccination. More details can be found in Figure 1.

5. Ongoing Monitoring and Improvement

To ensure the quality of the program, Scotland established a comprehensive, multi-dimensional monitoring system that includes:

  1. Establish an immunization and surveillance system comprising the Scottish Child Health Surveillance Programme(Schools), the Child Health Surveillance Programme(Pre-school), and the Scottish Immunisation Recall System (7);
  2. Assessing the awareness and attitudes of parents, children, educators, and healthcare professionals regarding HPV, cervical cancer, and the proposed vaccine, as well as evaluating the acceptability of the information provided in public education materials;
  3. Developing low-cost, simple, and reliable HPV testing methods to monitor infection rates within the target vaccinated population (18-20);
  4. Determining baseline HPV infection rates and prevalent genotypes among unvaccinated individuals prior to the implementation of the vaccination program (21);
  5. Establishing a surveillance system to track vaccination coverage, safety, and early outcomes, primarily by analyzing changes in HPV infection rates among women undergoing cervical screening, as a way to assess the initial impact of vaccination;
  6. Identifying demographic and behavioral differences between women who attend cervical screening and those who do not(22), in order to evaluate the representativeness of the screening sample and ensure that monitoring results are broadly applicable to the female population in Scotland.

6. Summary

Despite the program’s significant achievements, health authorities in Scotland continue to monitor the effectiveness of the HPV vaccination strategy and adjust their approach based on the latest research and data to maintain high coverage and efficacy. Scotland’s success in HPV vaccination offers valuable insights for other regions, demonstrating that systematic planning and broad collaboration can yield substantial public health benefits.


Content Editor: Ziyi Zhu

Page Editor: Ruitong Li


References:

1. G. Y. Ho, R. Bierman, L. Beardsley, C. J. Chang, R. D. Burk, Natural history of cervicovaginal papillomavirus infection in young women. N Engl J Med 338, 423-428 (1998).

2. S. Government, Scottish economic outlook (2024).

3. A. Potts et al., High uptake of HPV immunisation in Scotland–perspectives on maximising uptake. Euro Surveill 18 (2013).

4. D. o. H. (DH), Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI). JCVI meeting minutes of the meeting held on Wednesday 20 June 2007 at 10.30am. [Accessed 25 Sep 2013].  (2013).

5. M. Jit, Y. H. Choi, W. J. Edmunds, Economic evaluation of human papillomavirus vaccination in the United Kingdom. Bmj 337, a769 (2008).

6. J. C. o. V. a. Immunisation (2007) Minutes of the meeting held on Wednesday 20 June 2007 at 10.30am.

7. T. S. Government (2008) Public Health and Wellbeing Directorate. Implementation of Immunisation Programme: Human Papilloma Virus (HPV) Vaccine – Project Update including the Catch Up Campaign. .

8. T. S. Government. (2007) Public Health and Wellbeing Directorate. Implementation of Immunisation Programme: Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Vaccine.

9. K. Sinka et al., Achieving high and equitable coverage of adolescent HPV vaccine in Scotland. J Epidemiol Community Health 68, 57-63 (2014).

10. P. H. Scotland (2024) No cervical cancer cases detected in vaccinated women following HPV immunisation.

11. T. J. Palmer et al., Invasive cervical cancer incidence following bivalent human papillomavirus vaccination: a population-based observational study of age at immunization, dose, and deprivation. JNCI: Journal of the National Cancer Institute 116, 857-865 (2024).

12. J. Paavonen et al., Efficacy of human papillomavirus (HPV)-16/18 AS04-adjuvanted vaccine against cervical infection and precancer caused by oncogenic HPV types (PATRICIA): final analysis of a double-blind, randomised study in young women. Lancet 374, 301-314 (2009).

13. S. N. Tabrizi et al., Assessment of herd immunity and cross-protection after a human papillomavirus vaccination programme in Australia: a repeat cross-sectional study. Lancet Infect Dis 14, 958-966 (2014).

14. C. Pharmacist, The impact of the human papillomavirus vaccine in Scotland: a changing landscape. Pharmaceutical Journal 9 (2017).

15. K. G. Pollock et al., Reduction of low- and high-grade cervical abnormalities associated with high uptake of the HPV bivalent vaccine in Scotland. Br J Cancer 111, 1824-1830 (2014).

16. T. Palmer et al., Prevalence of cervical disease at age 20 after immunisation with bivalent HPV vaccine at age 12-13 in Scotland: retrospective population study. Bmj 365, l1161 (2019).

17. M. Falcaro et al., The effects of the national HPV vaccination programme in England, UK, on cervical cancer and grade 3 cervical intraepithelial neoplasia incidence: a register-based observational study. Lancet 398, 2084-2092 (2021).

18. W. Forson et al., High-risk HPV mRNA testing on self-samples offered to those who do not attend for organised cervical screening – real world data from the Dumfries and Galloway region in Scotland. J Clin Virol 175, 105734 (2024).

19. K. Cuschieri et al., Urine testing as a surveillance tool to monitor the impact of HPV immunization programs. J Med Virol 83, 1983-1987 (2011).

20. K. Cuschieri et al., Effect of HPV assay choice on perceived prevalence in a population-based sample. Diagn Mol Pathol 22, 85-90 (2013).

21. M. C. O’Leary et al., HPV type-specific prevalence using a urine assay in unvaccinated male and female 11- to 18-year olds in Scotland. Br J Cancer 104, 1221-1226 (2011).

22. K. Sinka et al., Acceptability and response to a postal survey using self-taken samples for HPV vaccine impact monitoring. Sex Transm Infect 87, 548-552 (2011).

Others

代表性地区的基本情况、接种政策及效果、宣传推动情况

(1) 成都市

 

基本情况

成都市2022年度GDP为20817.5亿元,排名全国城市第七。成都市出台了《健康城市建设推动健康中国行动创新模式成都市宫颈癌综合防控试点工作方案》等一系列相关政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种工作。

接种政策及效果

目标人群为13-14岁在校且无HPV疫苗接种史女生。免疫程序为国产二价0-6二剂次、进口二价0-1-6三剂次、进口四价0-2-6三剂次。资助政策为国产二价疫苗(沃泽惠)免费,其它疫苗补贴600元/人,并自付20元/剂接种费。疫苗接种按照属地化管理原则,由学校所在地预防接种单位负责。截至2022年1月,目标人群首针接种率达90.04%[14]。

宣传推动

成都市开展多形式、多载体的健康教育宣传。形式包括讲座、知晓日、义诊咨询、专题课程、专题活动等,载体包括宣传册、宣传栏、展板、电视、微信、视频号、抖音平台等,覆盖相关医疗机构300余、社区300余个、和公众场所90余个。面向适龄女孩及监护人、适龄女性及全体市民开展广泛宣教,宣传材料发放至近9万名群众,讲座活动覆盖近2万名群众。宣教内容包括HPV疫苗接种、两癌防控、其它女性常见疾病防控等。

(2) 济南市

 

基本情况

济南市2022年度GDP为12027.5亿元,位列全国城市排名20。2021年,济南市出台《健康城市建设推动健康中国行动创新模式试点一济南市宫颈癌综合防治工作方案(2021—2025年)》等一系列相关政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种工作。

接种政策及效果

目标人群为≤14周岁且无HPV疫苗接种史的在校七年级女生。免疫程序为国产二价0-6二剂次。资助政策免费接种。疫苗接种按照属地化管理原则,安排分班级分时段前往学校所在地的预防接种单位进行接种。截至2022年11月,目标人群首针接种率达
94.4%[15].

宣传推动

济南市开展多形式、多载体的健康教育宣传。形式包括采访、线上线下专题活动,载体包括网络媒体、纸媒、科普展板、宣传手册、子宫颈癌与HPV疫苗知识读本、济南HPV疫苗接种手册,宣教人群广泛涵盖全体市民,宣教内容包括HPV疫苗接种、两癌防控等知识。

(3) 鄂尔多斯市

 

基本情况

鄂尔多斯市2022年度GDP为5613.44亿元,全国地级市第45位。2021年,鄂尔多斯市出台了《健康城市建设推动健康鄂尔多斯行动创新模式工作方案》等一系列相关政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种工作。

接种政策及效果

2020年8月,鄂尔多斯市在准格尔旗率先开展HPV疫苗免费接种项目。目标人群为全市当年13-18岁在校且无HPV疫苗接种史女生。免疫程序为进口二价0-1-6三剂次,

2023年起调整为13-14岁女孩0-6二剂次。资助政策为疫苗免费,自付20元/剂接种费。组织方式为疫苗接种服务中心根据任务安排联系学校,有规划的通知适龄女孩前来完成HPV疫苗接种。截至2022年11月,目标人群首针接种率接近70%[16]。

2022年8月,启动准格尔旗和达拉特旗高三女生接种四价和九价HPV疫苗的试点工作,利用暑假时间展开接种,力争在2023年年底达成90%的接种目标[17]。自鄂尔多斯之后,由政府主导的HPV疫苗惠民行动在多地等涌现。值得注意的是,近年来多主体参与到HPV疫苗支持项目,如慈善总会、医院、妇联等为主体单位牵头组织开展了一些公益活动。

宣传推动

鄂尔多斯市开展多形式、多载体的健康教育宣传。形式包括讲座、知晓日、义诊咨询、专题课程、专题活动等,载体包括宣传册、宣传栏、展板、电视、微信、视频号、抖音平台等,宣教人群广泛涵盖在校女孩及监护人,适龄女性及全体市民。宣教内容包括HPV疫苗接种、两癌防控、其它女性常见疾病防控等。

(4) 西安市

 

基本情况

西安市2022年度GDP为11486.51亿元,排名全国第22位。2021年,西安市出台了《西安市健康城市建设推动健康中国行动创新模式试点宫颈癌综合防治工作方案》等一系列相关政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种工作。

接种政策及效果

目标人群为全市年龄满13周岁(初中)在校女生。免疫程序为国产二价0-6二剂次,进口二价0-1-6三剂次,进口四价和进口九价0-2-6三剂次。接种政策为自愿自费。各区(县)合理设立HPV疫苗专项疫苗接种门诊承担接种任务,并及时将接种信息统一录入儿童免疫规划信息平台。

宣传推动

西安市出台了《西安市宫颈癌综合防治宣传方案》(市健办发〔2022〕12号)。通过媒体宣传、社区活动、义诊等形式,宣传册、宣传栏、展板、电视、微信公众号、报纸等载体普及宫颈癌防治相关知识。

(5) 西藏自治区

 

基本情况

西藏自治区2022年度GDP为2132.64亿元,经济总量整体规模相对其他省份较小,人均GDP处于全国中等偏下水平。2022年出台《西藏自治区妇女“两癌”综合防治工作实施方案》等系列政策推动适龄女孩HPV疫苗接种。

接种政策及效果

目标人群为13-14岁在校女生。免疫程序为国产二价0-6二剂次。资助政策为免费。由学校组织,接种者在商定接种时间携带个人身份证明材料与法定监护人一同前往定点接种单位接种。

宣传推动

充分利用网络、电视、广播、报刊等媒介,以群众喜闻乐见的宣传方式,对适龄在校女生HPV疫苗接种工作的意义及内容进行广泛宣传。

近年来各地HPV疫苗惠民项目信息

“疾病负担”指标解读

疾病负担(burden of disease, BOD)是指疾病造成的失能(伤残)、生活质量下降和过早死亡对健康和社会造成的总损失,包括疾病的流行病学负担和经济负担两个方面。

 

在疾病的流行病学方面,衡量疾病负担的常用指标包括传统指标和综合指标。

 

传统指标

传统疾病负担的衡量指标包括:用于描述和反映健康状况与水平的常规指标,如死亡人数、伤残人数和患病人数等绝对数指标;以及用来比较不同特征人群疾病分布差异的指标,如发病率、伤残率、患病率、死亡率、门诊和住院率等相对数指标。

 

上述传统疾病负担的衡量指标基本上只考虑了人口的生存数量,而忽略了生存质量,不够全面;但优势在于资料相对计算方便,结果直观,可用于各种疾病的一般性描述。

 

综合指标

疾病负担不等同于死亡人数,综合指标弥补了传统指标的单一性,且可以让各种不同疾病造成的负担之间相互比较。

 

潜在寿命损失年(YPLL):通过疾病造成的寿命损失来估计疾病负担的大小。但忽略了疾病造成的失能对生存质量的影响。

 

伤残调整寿命年(DALYs):将死亡和失能相结合,用一个指标来描述疾病的这两方面的负担。它包括因早死造成健康生命年的损失(YLL)和因伤残造成健康生命年的损失(YLD),即DALY=YLL+YLD。目前,DALY是国内外一致公认的最具代表性、运用最多的疾病负担评价指标。

 

健康期望寿命(HALE):指具有良好健康状态的生命年以及个体在比较舒适的状态下生活的平均预期时间,综合考虑生命的质量和数量两方面。

 

 

随着疾病负担研究的深入,其测量范围从流行病学负担扩大到经济负担。

 

疾病经济负担是由于发病、伤残(失能)和过早死亡给患者本人、家庭以及社会带来的经济损失,和由于预防治疗疾病所消耗的经济资源。

详细见:疾病的“经济负担”怎么计算?

 

参考资料:

陈文. 卫生经济学 [M]. 人民卫生出版社. 2017.

李茜瑶,周莹,黄辉等.疾病负担研究进展[J].中国公共卫生,2018,34(05):777-780.

什么是“年龄标化”?

在流行病学研究中,年龄是多种疾病的危险因素。以发病率为例,该指标反映了一定时期内,特定人群中癌症新发病例的情况。由于年龄是癌症发生的一个重要影响因素,年龄越大,发病率就越高。

 

如果两个国家的人群年龄结构相差很大,例如A市老年人口比例更大,B市年轻人口占比更高,直接比较两地癌症发病率的高低,我们不能确定发病率较高的市,是因为年龄构成不同还是因为其他影响因素(如饮食习惯、环境等)所导致。因此,需要用“年龄标化”的统计学方法,进一步处理数据,排除年龄影响因素的干扰,再来比较两地的发病率数据。

 

以发病率为例,即把原始数据套到一个“标准年龄结构人群里”,计算出”年龄标化发病率“,这样人群结构不同的A市和B市,就能在同一个指标尺度下进行“发病率”比较。年龄标化通常有“中标率”,即我国各地基于某一年份的中国人口年龄结构构成作为标准计算,国内不同地区的疾病数据比较采用的是“中标率”;另一种是“世标率”,即用世界标准人口构成机型标化计算,适用于国与国之间的指标比较。

 

同样地,以死亡率为例,应特别注意各之间地人口构成的差异。用标准化死亡率进行比较才能得出正确结论。如甲、乙两地在未标化前的肺癌死亡率相同,但实际上乙地人群的肺癌死亡率要明显地高于甲地,其原因在于甲地男性老年人口居多,而肺癌的死亡率又与年龄和性别有关,所以用未标化率进行比较时,就会得出甲乙两地肺癌死亡率相同的错误结论。

 

参考资料:

 

张科宏教授:年龄标化的患病率 – 丁香公开课 (dxy.cn)

科学网—癌症(粗)发病率与标化发病率的区别 – 杨雷的博文 (sciencenet.cn)

WHO年龄标化死亡率定义及计算方法

沈洪兵,齐秀英. 流行病学 [M]. 人民卫生出版社. 2015.

疾病的“经济负担”怎么计算?

疾病经济负担是由于发病、伤残(失能)和过早死亡给患者本人、家庭以及社会带来的经济损失,和由于预防治疗疾病的费用。通过计算疾病的经济负担,可以从经济层面上研究或比较不同疾病对人群健康的影响。

总疾病经济负担包括直接疾病经济负担、间接疾病经济负担和无形疾病经济负担。

直接经济负担:指直接用于预防和治疗疾病的总费用,包括直接医疗经济负担和直接非医疗经济负担两部分。直接医疗经济负担是指在医药保健部门购买卫生服务的花费,主要包括门诊费(如挂号费、检查费、处置费、诊断费、急救费等)、住院费(如手术费、治疗费等)和药费等。直接非医疗经济负担包括和疾病有关的营养费、交通费、住宿费、膳食费、陪护费和财产损失等。

间接经济负担:指由于发病、伤残(失能)和过早死亡给患者本人和社会带来的有效劳动力损失而导致的经济损失。具体包括:劳动工作时间损失、个人工作能力和效率降低造成的损失、陪护病人时损失的劳动工作时间、精神损失等。

无形经济负担:指患者及亲友因疾病在心理、精神和生活上遭受的痛苦、悲哀、不便等生活质量下降而产生的无形损失。

 

参考资料:

陈文. 卫生经济学 [M]. 人民卫生出版社. 2017.

李茜瑶,周莹,黄辉等.疾病负担研究进展[J].中国公共卫生,2018,34(05):777-780.